000			01899mam a22003134a 4500
001			3142595
005			20131008125810.0
007			Paper bound
008			010813s2002 nyua b 001 0 eng
010			_a 2001038738
020			_a9780321087294
035			_a(OCoLC)ocm47803452
040			_aDLC _cDLC _dC#P _dOrLoB-B
042			_apcc
043			_an-us---
050	0	0	_aJK524 _b.J65 2002
082	0	0	_a324.973 _222 _bJO-W
100	1		_aJones, Randall J _941610
245	1	0	_aWho will be in the White House? _bpredicting presidential elections
260			_aNew York _bLongman _c2002
300			_axii,164p. _bill. ; _c23 cm.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 133-142) and index.
505	0	0	_gCh. 1. _tTrial Heat Polls -- _gApp. 1.1. _t2000 Forecasts for Gore: Comparison of Regression Results and Raw Trial Heat Data -- _gApp. 1.2. _tTrial Heat Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios, 1952-2000 Data -- _gCh. 2. _tBellwethers -- _gApp. 2.1. _tBellwether Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios, 1952-2000 Data -- _gCh. 3. _tPresidential Approval Ratings -- _gApp. 3.1. _tForecasts of 2000 Election: Regressions on Presidential Approval Ratings -- _gApp. 3.2. _tEquations for 2004 Election Scenarios Using Presidential Approval Ratings -- _gCh. 4. _tOther Public Opinion-Based Techniques -- _gCh. 5. _tJudgment-Based Forecasting Techniques -- _gCh. 6. _tCycles in Presidential Elections -- _gCh. 7. _tThe Nomination Process and Campaigns -- _gCh. 8. _tPerformance of the Economy -- _gApp. 8.1. _tEquations for 2004 Election Scenarios -- _gCh. 9. _tPutting It All Together: Multivariate Forecasting Models -- _tConclusion: A Forecasting Perspective of the 2000 Election.
650		0	_aPresidents _zUnited States _xElection _xForecasting. _941611
650		0	_aElection forecasting _zUnited States. _941612
900			_bTOC
942			_2ddc _cBK
999			_c18504 _d18504