TY - BOOK AU - Silver,Nate TI - The signal and the noise: the art and science of prediction SN - 9781846148163 PY - 2012/// CY - London PB - Penguin KW - Forecasting KW - Methodology KW - History KW - Bayesian statistical decision theory KW - Knowledge, Theory of N1 - Includes bibliographical references (p. 459-514) and index ER -