TY - BOOK AU - Jones,Randall J TI - Who will be in the White House?: predicting presidential elections SN - 9780321087294 AV - JK524 .J65 2002 U1 - 324.973 22 PY - 2002/// CY - New York PB - Longman KW - Presidents KW - United States KW - Election KW - Forecasting KW - Election forecasting N1 - Includes bibliographical references (p. 133-142) and index; Ch. 1; Trial Heat Polls --; App. 1.1; 2000 Forecasts for Gore: Comparison of Regression Results and Raw Trial Heat Data --; App. 1.2; Trial Heat Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios, 1952-2000 Data --; Ch. 2; Bellwethers --; App. 2.1; Bellwether Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios, 1952-2000 Data --; Ch. 3; Presidential Approval Ratings --; App. 3.1; Forecasts of 2000 Election: Regressions on Presidential Approval Ratings --; App. 3.2; Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios Using Presidential Approval Ratings --; Ch. 4; Other Public Opinion-Based Techniques --; Ch. 5; Judgment-Based Forecasting Techniques --; Ch. 6; Cycles in Presidential Elections --; Ch. 7; The Nomination Process and Campaigns --; Ch. 8; Performance of the Economy --; App. 8.1; Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios --; Ch. 9; Putting It All Together: Multivariate Forecasting Models --; Conclusion: A Forecasting Perspective of the 2000 Election ER -