Who will be in the White House? predicting presidential elections
Jones, Randall J
Who will be in the White House? predicting presidential elections - New York Longman 2002 - xii,164p. ill. ; 23 cm.
Includes bibliographical references (p. 133-142) and index.
Trial Heat Polls -- 2000 Forecasts for Gore: Comparison of Regression Results and Raw Trial Heat Data -- Trial Heat Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios, 1952-2000 Data -- Bellwethers -- Bellwether Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios, 1952-2000 Data -- Presidential Approval Ratings -- Forecasts of 2000 Election: Regressions on Presidential Approval Ratings -- Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios Using Presidential Approval Ratings -- Other Public Opinion-Based Techniques -- Judgment-Based Forecasting Techniques -- Cycles in Presidential Elections -- The Nomination Process and Campaigns -- Performance of the Economy -- Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios -- Putting It All Together: Multivariate Forecasting Models -- Conclusion: A Forecasting Perspective of the 2000 Election. Ch. 1. App. 1.1. App. 1.2. Ch. 2. App. 2.1. Ch. 3. App. 3.1. App. 3.2. Ch. 4. Ch. 5. Ch. 6. Ch. 7. Ch. 8. App. 8.1. Ch. 9.
9780321087294
2001038738
Presidents--Election--Forecasting.--United States
Election forecasting--United States.
JK524 / .J65 2002
324.973 / JO-W
Who will be in the White House? predicting presidential elections - New York Longman 2002 - xii,164p. ill. ; 23 cm.
Includes bibliographical references (p. 133-142) and index.
Trial Heat Polls -- 2000 Forecasts for Gore: Comparison of Regression Results and Raw Trial Heat Data -- Trial Heat Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios, 1952-2000 Data -- Bellwethers -- Bellwether Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios, 1952-2000 Data -- Presidential Approval Ratings -- Forecasts of 2000 Election: Regressions on Presidential Approval Ratings -- Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios Using Presidential Approval Ratings -- Other Public Opinion-Based Techniques -- Judgment-Based Forecasting Techniques -- Cycles in Presidential Elections -- The Nomination Process and Campaigns -- Performance of the Economy -- Equations for 2004 Election Scenarios -- Putting It All Together: Multivariate Forecasting Models -- Conclusion: A Forecasting Perspective of the 2000 Election. Ch. 1. App. 1.1. App. 1.2. Ch. 2. App. 2.1. Ch. 3. App. 3.1. App. 3.2. Ch. 4. Ch. 5. Ch. 6. Ch. 7. Ch. 8. App. 8.1. Ch. 9.
9780321087294
2001038738
Presidents--Election--Forecasting.--United States
Election forecasting--United States.
JK524 / .J65 2002
324.973 / JO-W